Friday, September 6, 2013

Letter to my elected representatives in opposition to US military strikes against Syria


This is a letter I pounded out in a spare hour this morning because I was tired of hearing myself pontificate to family members.  It was written with politicians and bureaucrat types in mind and so its tailored accordingly, using rhetorical strategies and discourse I might not otherwise chose.  Like the whole concept of "The West", for example.   I expect it won't actually be read, or at most it will receive a skimming from an intern before shooting off a form-letter of the "thanks for contacting your congressman" variety.  But in the off chance someone does read it, I restrained myself a little because generally speaking neither discursive deconstruction nor people screaming "you imperialist war-mongering pigs!" get taken too seriously by the policy establishment.
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Dear (Representative X, Y, or Z)



I am writing as a resident and registered voter in the state of ________ to ask you to oppose any military attack on Syria.  Flouting international law (by attacking Syria without provocation) while citing international law (the Geneva Protocols) makes little logical, ethical, or practical sense.  Putting aside any obstructionism of a belligerent Russia against a U.N. resolution, there have been many legitimate concerns and misgivings raised by our traditional allies about any potential U.S. military action, as shown by this week’s G20 summit.  The massive humanitarian crisis in Syria and its neighbors, with a flight of an estimated 40,000 refugees each day across the Jordanian border, would only worsen.  The refugee camps have grown larger than many cities.[1]  These refugees are stripped of their citizenship and their passports, and forbidden to seek work or to leave the refugee settlement camps.
 In addition, while I personally find the actions of Assad’s dictatorial repression of dissidents to be disgusting and deplorable, the current opposition to his regime is neither unified nor innocent of their own war crimes.  Videos of summary execution of war prisoners, or of an opposition rebel cutting out the heart of a Syrian soldier, make it clear that brutality is not exclusive to only one side or the other in this conflict.[2]  Equally important, the Independent International Commission to the UN on Syria has reported evidence that rebels have also used illegal chemical weapons in their fight against the Assad regime.  The United States should stop enforcing international law only when it suits its own agenda.
 The US and its allies did nothing of substance to support the initial rebel opposition at the start of the conflict in 2011, instead creating their own “Syrian National Council” based outside the country.  One of the consequences of this has been the increasingly confused and heterogeneous makeup of opposition forces.  Senator John Kerry’s claim that only 15-20% of opposition forces are “bad guys” is laughable, not least because the real world can’t be neatly divided into heroes and villains.  While the Assad government’s statements and claims about the conflict are full of blatant lies and distortions, their claim that the opposition forces are being directed by foreigners is possibly “more true than false” by now.[3]  While it has been very clear the lion’s share of atrocity has been committed by Assad’s forces, the conduct of the opposition forces raises legitimate concerns and questions.  The UN Commission wrote in a February 2013 report:

As anti-Government armed groups gained control over territory, the commission finds that they committed murder, torture, arbitrary arrest and hostage-taking, all of which may constitute war crimes. Car and suicide bombings, directed at non-military targets, by armed groups spread terror among the civilian population. Anti-Government armed groups continue to conduct their operations from within densely populated towns and villages, endangering remaining civilians. The number of foreign fighters has grown, though they remain a small proportion of the armed groups’ ranks.
Government forces, affiliated militias and anti-Government armed groups have violated the rights of children. Incidents of children being killed, tortured and raped by pro-Government forces were recorded. Children under the age of 15 have actively participated – including as fighters – in hostilities as part of some of the anti-Government armed groups.[4]

The Syrian conflict has become a proxy war for Iran, Hezbollah, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and other parties in the region.   I have no doubt on my mind that this fact far outweighs the plight of innocent civilians when it comes to the genuine motives for a U.S. intervention.   It is utterly unclear and unpredictable who will step into the power vacuum created by a toppling of the Assad regime.  In addition, as horrible as he might be, Assad still has the support of a significant portion of a divided Syrian public – this is only to be expected in a civil war.  Regardless of any proclamation of noble and virtuous intentions, how will a US military intervention be viewed by those Syrians, or Syria’s neighbors?  Will Assad become a martyr and symbol of defiance against a belligerent Western government meddling in Arab affairs?   A political solution, rather than a military solution, is the only way to prevent the escalation of the conflict and further destabilizing not only Syria but the entire region.
 Furthermore, for the first time in generations Iran has a newly-elected moderate leader open to dialogue with the US and its allies.  While former President Ahmadinejad gave unconditional support to Assad and became his regime’s chief backer and closest ally, the new President Rouhani has (unlike Russia) condemned Assad’s use of chemical weapons.  The Iranian public’s support for Syria appears to be waning.  This presents an opportunity for political negotiation and pressure, and an angle that has been conspicuously absent from the posturing in Washington and meticulously avoided by television news coverage of the conflict.
          Over 100,000 people have died so far in the Syrian civil war.  The attack on the city of Ghouta on the 21st of August was horrific and worthy of the whole world’s condemnation.  Sadly this attack is being used in a manipulative way by our politicians to drum up support for military interference in a country that most Americans citizens can’t find on a map, let alone be expected to understand the complexity of the situation.   Chemical weapons cannot be destroyed by airstrikes without endangering and killing thousands more:  a missile attack on Syria would mostly be symbolic, and the Obama administrations claimed intent of diminishing Assad’s military capacity is vague and unclear.
        I will not support a proxy war against Iran and Hezbollah that uses the Syrian conflict as a convenient justification.  I resent the Obama administration’s and its Republican allies assertions that those who oppose military intervention have “lost their moral compass.”  Military interventions and wars have historically caused many more civilian casualties than the deaths of soldiers: the myth of “surgical” warfare through technologically sophisticated hardware, remote-controlled drones, and guided missile strikes has not and never will change this basic fact of war.  I would rather question the “moral compass” of a foreign policy that would have us act (in Senator Dennis Kucinich’s words) as Al-Qaeda’s airforce, potentially aiding the very same people who attacked the United States in 2001.  The idea that the US can attack Assad and not escalate the conflict even further, resulting in more bloodshed and further atrocities against the Syrian population, is at best very naïve; at its worst, the idea is disingenuous and duplicitous.  Our own military experts and strategists know better, and have voiced these and other misgivings, but are consistently drowned out by the war drums on Capitol Hill.
     Over 100,000 people are dead because of this conflict.  Refugees across Syria’s borders are living in dismal conditions with an uncertain future.  Let’s not take actions that provoke another 100,000 deaths, or involve us in another intractable war.  Please pursue a political, negotiated solution to the Syrian conflict.  Please vote “no” on any military strikes against Syria.

Sincerely
Dr. Vibes


[1] The number of refuges at Zaatri refugee camp in Jordan has topped 120,000 people, according to the United Nations Human Rights Council. http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/settlement.php?id=176&country=107&region=77
[2] See for example: C.J. Chivers, “Brutality of Syrian Rebels Posing Dilemma in West,” New York Times, Sept.5, 2013
[3] Philip Giraldi. “NATO vs. Syria,” December 19, 2011, http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/nato-vs-syria/
[4] United Nations Human Rights Council, February 18, 2013.  http://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=13003&LangID=E